November 2008

  • Minnesota State Senate Race, Still Counting

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    The five member state Canvassing Board denied a request by Al Franken's campaign to reconsider absentee ballots it claims were excluded from the initial vote count because of technicalities or administrative errors.  Republican Sen. Norm Coleman's campaign said the board lacked power to revisit those votes.  Statewide, Secretary of State Mark Ritchie estimated 12,000 absentee ballots were rejected for various reasons.  Franken entered the recount trailing Coleman by 215 votes out of 2.9 million ballots.  About 80 percent have been counted with Coleman still in the lead.  However, there are still about 3,600 ballots that both campaigns have challenged that could determine the outcaome of this long, drawn-out race.  Read more here. Read more

  • Recount Resumes, Razor-thin Margins Predicted

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    Who would've known that counting could be so complicated?  Nate Silver, the geek superstar of this election season is predicting how this race will go down.  Take a look at the formula he uses in his site FiveThirtyEight.com, I'm still trying to wrap my mind around some of the ideas he's throwing out there but I think it goes something like this:  The challenged votes are really complicating things for Al Franken.

    Using regression analysis, Silver predicts a Franken victory.

    This regression is a bit difficult to interpret, particularly with the presence of all the interaction terms, but the key intuition is as follows. Suppose that the number of challenges is zero -- as will happen once the state canvassing board finishes considering all such challenges in December. In this case, all terms in the regression equation reduce to zero, except for the constant term and t, which is Franken's share of the two-way vote in that precinct. Read more

  • The Race is Getting Tight for Minnesota Senate Seat

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    The counting continues in Minnesota as the race for the Senate tightens.  Read the whole story here.

    About 73 percent of precincts have reported complete results to the secretary of state, with only a few dozen counties remaining. As of Saturday night, about 66 percent of the estimated 2.9 million ballots had gotten a second look.

    Coleman entered the recount with a 215-vote edge over Franken. That lead has dropped to 167 votes when comparing totals in precincts where the new count is complete. But the figure doesn't include ballot challenges, which have caused vote tallies for both men to drop.

    There have been 1,893 challenges between the campaigns, some could be withdrawn before the Canvassing Board's Dec. 16 meeting.

    For alittle comic relief from all this counting, check out this poll from the folks at 23/6.

  • Minnesota: Don’t Miss This Chance to Have Your Voices Heard

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    Minnesota, while you may still be waiting to end the 2008 elections, you have an opportunity to make your voices heard about the current presidential administration by visiting Goodbye.us. Goodbye.us is a web based project to gather (and present) as many open letters to our outgoing president as possible before inauguration day. Our goal is fairly simple: to capture the feelings Americans have towards one of the most notable and controversial administrations in American history. Think of it as a time capsule for the Bush Administration. So if you have something to say to Mr. Bush, please do not hesitate to visit Goodbye.us !

  • Minnesota Recount Starts Today

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    The recount is underway for the Minnesota state Senate seat that could give the majority to the Democrats.  Election officials in Minnesota yesterday began a manual recount of the 2.9 million votes cast on November 4 for Republican incumbent Norm Coleman or the Democrat former comedian Al Franken. They have until December 5 to complete the job. The state canvassing board postponed a decision on rejected absentee ballots. The recount was triggered by the smallness of Coleman's lead, only 215.

    Franken met with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid for about 20 minutes on Wednesday morning in Reid’s office on the second floor of the Capitol building. After the meeting, he told reporters he had briefed the Majority Leader on the mechanics of the recount and said he is "cautiously optimistic" he will win.

    The former comedy writer said he had scheduled meetings at the DSCC, where he will meet with experts who know about setting up transition offices and organizational things along those lines. Read more